Miguel Delaney's Inside Football
Miguel Delaney's Inside Football
 

What’s really happening with Guardiola and Slot as their campaigns turn erratic

Liverpool and Manchester City both face similar issues, and may end up going for the same coach. Also in your Friday’s members-only Inside Football newsletter:

  • The “speculation” surrounding Pep Guardiola’s future
  • Potential successors at City
  • Mikel Merino’s World Cup hopes
  • Eddie Howe’s job security

As Liverpool prepare a game plan for their multi-layered clash with Manchester City on Sunday, there is a clear awareness of the need to approach the match in “stages.”

 

In other words, facing Guardiola’s side in the eighth minute is very different from facing them in the 80th. Newcastle United demonstrated that in an otherwise crushing Carabao Cup defeat.

 

As noted in this newsletter on Monday, opposition sides are now fully aware of how assistant Pep Lijnders’ shift to a more intense pressing style has left City vulnerable late in games.

 

Liverpool have consequently been working out how Hugo Ekitike can exploit that space in the final stages. The club believes the sleek forward has reached another level in recent weeks – precisely why they were so keen to sign him. There is a sense he could become one of the best strikers in the world. That progress is also tied to Liverpool’s own confidence, which is far higher than when City beat them 3-0 in November – and even higher than just two weeks ago.

 

City, meanwhile, have had an erratic start to the year, with only one win in six Premier League matches. Their victory over Newcastle offered a glimpse of the team Guardiola would like to see, only for them to leave gaps that caused concern.

 

The situation highlights a parallel between the clubs that is particularly striking given they are England’s two most recent champions. Neither has full clarity on what comes next – both in terms of playing style and, crucially, coaching futures.

 

This is most pronounced with Guardiola, whose off-pitch headlines over the last week have fuelled growing speculation about his future.

The City manager delved into geopolitics – specifically Gaza and the United States – at Tuesday’s pre-match press conference, even claiming it was “the first time in 10 years that one journalist asks me about that.”

 

That isn’t entirely accurate. Most notably, after the 2018 Carabao Cup final, Guardiola had worn a yellow ribbon in support of Catalan independence leaders while speaking about political freedoms and “humanity.” He was then asked how he could reconcile that with his gratitude to owner Sheikh Mansour, a leader in a country – the UAE – “criticised for not respecting freedoms.” The UAE has since faced vigorous criticism over its role in what has been described as a genocide in Sudan, another conflict Guardiola mentioned in passing on Tuesday. The UAE denies propping up regional militias, despite the New York Times reporting “extensive evidence to the contrary.”

 

Back in 2018, Guardiola’s response was more garbled, saying simply that “every country decides the way they want to live for themselves.”

 

He was not asked about Sudan on this occasion, and none of this is to debate the merit of Guardiola’s humanitarian views. The reality, however, is that the UAE is actively using sport – and the ownership of City, along with all its victories – for political purposes.

 

It’s remarkable that this is even being discussed ahead of a Liverpool–City game, but this is football in 2026.

 

As in 2018, the obvious question is how City’s owners feel when Guardiola speaks on these issues, given the attention it draws to them.

 

Guardiola’s renewed willingness to discuss such topics – despite insisting he had not previously been asked – alongside the club’s spending, has fuelled widespread belief that this could be his last season.

 

City continue to describe such talk as mere “speculation.” A club as well run as theirs has clearly already started thinking about the future.

 

Many believe City have spent almost half a billion pounds over the last three transfer windows because Guardiola is very much in a “win now” mindset. He wants to leave with significant victories, which explains the high turnover of signings.

 

Consider the attack. Jeremy Doku scored a supreme goal in that 3-0 defeat to Liverpool in November, a strike that seemed to signal he was reaching a new level. That goal, however, ended up being his last for the club. City have responded by signing Antoine Semenyo, who started on the left against Newcastle, and bringing back Omar Marmoush. Marmoush briefly looked like a potential star, only for his form to falter.

 

If all of this is a prelude to Guardiola’s departure, there is a potential parallel with Liverpool: both clubs may be considering Xabi Alonso. Both admire him, and he is aware of their interest.

 

City’s strongest interest, however, is said to lie with former captain Vincent Kompany. That is natural, but not without complications. Kompany is deeply involved in planning at Bayern Munich and looks unlikely to leave this summer. Another factor is the awareness among coaches of the challenge of succeeding Guardiola.

 

Enzo Maresca, however, would be willing to back himself, much as Slot did after Jurgen Klopp.

 

At Anfield, talk of Slot moving on has, for now, evaporated. Liverpool feel they are exactly where they wanted to be going into this season. They consciously chose to refresh and reshape the squad, accepting there would be an adaptation period – made harder by more injuries than anticipated.

 

The signs from performance data suggest young players like Ekitike and Florian Wirtz are now fully up to speed. Liverpool invested in the long term and are finally seeing the returns.

 

This is not to say Slot is completely bulletproof; he still needs to secure Champions League football.

 

Sunday will reveal a lot – not just about whether he can achieve that, but potentially much more.

 

Get in touch

What are your predictions for the Liverpool-City clash? Email me at m.delaney@independent.co.uk with your thoughts.

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 Inside Football Quiz

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 Inside Football Quiz

There are six players who have made over 500 appearances in the Premier League, but never won the competition. Name the six.

Note: only Premier League appearances and titles count. Old First Division appearances and medals are not included - which is a potential giveaway to one of the answers.

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Answer at the bottom of the newsletter

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Answer at the bottom of the newsletter

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Howe safe for some time to come

Eddie Howe is not under any immediate pressure at Newcastle United, but perhaps a bigger question is whether he actually should be. There is an awareness that the coach has had to deal with multiple issues in another volatile season, but it’s hard not to feel some of it has gone a bit stale. Howe’s best Newcastle teams played with an intensity they just can’t seem to muster at the moment. That may not be a surprise, since it is difficult to sustain that level for more than the typical cycle of a team – three or four years – without significant player turnover. Howe has now been there for almost four and a half years without major squad changes.

 

That points to another issue: how central he is to the football operation at the club. It is built around him, further complicating any questions about his future. Swirling around all of this are also murmurs that the Saudi Arabian owners aren’t as hands-on as they might be.

 

The general view at the top level of football is that Howe is a good coach, who has generally done a fine job at Newcastle, but is ultimately “two-dimensional.”

 

Merino aiming for World Cup return

There is hope that Mikel Merino will be available for the World Cup and potentially for the end of the season. The Spanish international has been dealing with a bone issue in his foot for some time, which was exacerbated during the 3-2 defeat to Manchester United. Arsenal could have waited longer before proceeding with surgery to see how it responded, but it was felt better to act, with Mikel Arteta also mindful of the player’s desire to feature at the World Cup. Spain, after all, could win it. Recovery from the operation is expected to take around eight weeks, leaving a race against time to regain full fitness.

 

Madrid murmurs

There’s a murmur within the Real Madrid squad, separate from the uncertainty over the next head coach. The very fact that people are now willing to speak about it is telling and reflects widespread dissent over the managerial situation. Insiders believe the Club World Cup has had a significant impact on the season and on the team’s freshness. They also see other clubs – Paris Saint-Germain, Manchester City, and Chelsea – grappling with the same issue. With Chelsea, for example, the heavy rotation in the squad of late is a clear sign. Such discussions may further aggravate Florentino Pérez, given how strongly he backed the competition.

 

Ask Miguel

Question
 
 

Which approach was better in a semi-final second leg – Chelsea’s or Newcastle United’s? Chris

Answer
 
 

This really comes down to results, and in both cases, the outcomes were ultimately disappointing. There has been plenty of debate over the tactics of the two defeated Carabao Cup semi-finalists and which approach offered the best chance of qualification. Newcastle did try to force opportunities, but ultimately ended their chances in dramatic fashion. Chelsea, by contrast, were more calculated – so much so that they never really tested Arsenal. Pushing harder in the final 30 minutes might have made more sense, but they never did.

 

Want to ask a question?

Email me at m.delaney@independent.co.uk for a chance to be featured. 

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Stadium

THE DISPATCH

Exclusive interview with Kelleher

Stadium

THE DISPATCH

Exclusive interview with Kelleher

I interviewed Caoimhin Kelleher this week, and one of the things that stood out most was how remarkably relaxed and laid-back he is. He spoke with striking perceptiveness about how Liverpool’s players should be regarded in the aftermath of Diogo Jota’s tragic passing. Kelleher was close to the Portuguese forward. Such real-life tragedies are a reminder of the triviality of sport, but also of its capacity to bring enjoyment – as with Ireland’s 3-2 victory over Hungary. Kelleher, of course, discusses that – but not, interestingly, the “trade secrets” of his penalty approach. You can read the full interview here.

 
Prediction

MIGUEL'S PREDICTION

Premier League weeks 25 and 26

Prediction

MIGUEL'S PREDICTION

Premier League weeks 25 and 26

A double week this week, due to the midweek fixtures. Last week brought six correct outcomes, but no correct scorelines. That makes my overall totals: 102 correct results out of 240, and 138 points out of 720 when factoring in exact scorelines.

 

My predictions for Premier League matchweek 25:

 

Leeds United 2-0 Nottingham Forest

Manchester United 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur

Fulham 1-1 Everton

Burnley 2-2 West Ham United

Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland

Wolves 0-2 Chelsea

Bournemouth 2-1 Aston Villa

Newcastle United 0-1 Brentford

Brighton 2-0 Crystal Palace

Liverpool 3-1 Manchester City

 

My predictions for Premier League matchweek 26:

 

Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Newcastle United

Chelsea 2-1 Leeds United

Everton 1-1 Bournemouth

West Ham United 1-2 Manchester United

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Wolves

Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton

Crystal Palace 1-0 Burnley

Manchester City 2-0 Fulham

Sunderland 1-3 Liverpool

Brentford 0-1 Arsenal

 

I know many of you play along so let me know how your points are stacking up via email.

 
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Answer

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Answer

David James, 572 appearances
Gary Speed, 535
Emile Heskey, 516
Mark Schwarzer, 514
Jamie Carragher, 508
Steven Gerrard, 504

Drop me an email and let me know how you did. Thanks for reading – and see you on Monday!